Samantha Power’s Ghost

by Sean Hackbarth

Sen. Barack Obama is backing away from his firm opposition to the Iraq War:

Sen. Barack Obama left open the possibility of slowing his promised, 16-month withdrawal of combat forces from Iraq, saying he would consult with military commanders on an upcoming trip to the region to ensure a withdrawal would keep troops safe and Iraq stable.

“My 16-month timeline, if you examine everything I’ve said, was always premised on making sure our troops were safe,” Obama told reporters as his campaign plane landed in North Dakota. “And my guiding approach continues to be that we’ve got to make sure that our troops are safe, and that Iraq is stable. And I’m going to continue to gather information to find out whether those conditions still hold.”

Obama, the presumptive Democratic nominee, has long said the nation “must be as careful getting out of Iraq as it was reckless going in,” but during his hard-fought primary fight with Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, he stuck to a timeline that foresaw withdrawing one to two combat brigades from Iraq a month.

In recent weeks, Republicans and some Democratic-leaning military experts have said conditions have changed so dramatically that Obama would have to rethink that goal. His own advisers have sent mixed messages. Sen. Claire C. McCaskill (D-Mo.), a strong Obama supporter, has firmly maintained he has not shifted on Iraq at all. But foreign policy adviser Susan Rice, in recent days, appeared to take a more flexible approach.

In North Dakota Obama put emphasis on being careful in pulling out troops. That’s a contrast to what’s on his website. There it’s all about “immediately begin[ning] to remove our troops from Iraq” and showing the Iraqi government that troops really are leaving so they’ll have to politically reconcile. In the past Obama bragged about wanting a “phased withdrawal,” and in 01.07 he introduced a bill to get U.S. troops out of Iraq by 03.08. After the Samantha Power blow up when she told a U.K. audience that a 16-month pullout was a “best case scenario” campaign manager David Plouffe said Obama’s commitment was “rock solid.” That talk is bolder than saying Obama wants to bring the Iraq “war to a responsible end.”

Obama adjusting his Iraq War opposition doesn’t bother me in that I think it’s much more sensible and realistic than the pap he was spouting during the Democratic primaries. The surge has brought about significant progress while much still needs to be done. Obama is a smart guy. He knows that with U.S. casualties declining [PDF] the war won’t be as prominent in voters’ minds. However, what’s to say Obama won’t make another abrupt change? We’re relying on his “superior judgement” since his political resume is so thin. But his judgment on the campaign trail has been to tell primary voters one thing and foreign audiences another. Which is the real Barack Obama?

In the case of Iraq Samantha Power was more accurate than her ex-boss. In her infamous U.K. interview she said:

You can’t make a commitment in whatever month we’re in now, in March of 2008 about what circumstances are gonna be like in Jan. 2009. We can’t even tell what Bush is up to in terms of troop pauses and so forth. He will of course not rely upon some plan that he’s crafted as a presidential candidate or as a US senator.

We can take Obama’s talk on Iraq for what it really is “just words.” Just like a typical politician.

“Obama Softens on Iraq Withdrawal Timeline”

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3 Responses to “Samantha Power’s Ghost”

1

Would you rather have someone that chugs reliably on-course into a disaster? I’m glad that he is at least willing to change his position, even at an important time like this, because he knows that he has to. Bush or Kerry would have stuck to their promise and not delivered it.

2

Tyler, not to sound rude but did you miss when I wrote, “Obama adjusting his Iraq War opposition doesn’t bother me in that I think it’s much more sensible and realistic than the pap he was spouting during the Democratic primaries”? We’re seeing a candidate willing to transform his formerly firm positions into Play-Dough for political expediency. That’s not “new politics” to me.

3

I’m surprised, Sean, that you didn’t quote this part of Obama’s speech:

“According to all the reports, we should have been well along our way in getting the Iraqi security forces to be more functional. We then have another 16 months after that to adjust the withdrawal and make sure that we are withdrawing from those areas, based on advice from the military officers in the field, those places where we are secured, made progress and we’re not just willy-nilly removing troops, but we’re making a determination – in this region we see some stability. We’ve had cooperation from local tribal leaders and local officials, so we can afford to remove troops here. Here, we’ve still got problems, it’s going to take a little bit longer. Maybe those are the last areas to pull out.”

Oh, wait, maybe because that’s from November 2007.

And there was this, from his introduction of his bill in January 2007:
The redeployment of the Armed Forces under this section shall be substantial, shall occur in a gradual manner, and shall be executed at a pace to achieve the goal of the complete redeployment of all United States combat brigades from Iraq by March 31, 2008, consistent with the expectation of the Iraq Study Group [. . .]. The redeployment of the Armed Forces under this section should be conducted pursuant to a plan formulated by United States military commanders that is developed, if practicable, in consultation with the Government of Iraq.

I don’t hear a change in policy, and I don’t see a contradiction to the notion that Obama’s commitment to getting all troops out is “rock solid.”

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