Budget Deal Tells Me Paul Ryan Isn’t Running for President in 2016

by Sean Hackbarth

After digesting the budget deal he worked out with Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA), I’ve come to the conclusion that Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) won’t run for President in 2016, because he’s eyeing a higher leadership role in the House. Seth Mandel’s analysis takes a similar tact:

The truth is, most of Ryan’s career suggests he wants the gavel, not the veto pen. Such a career path, by definition, requires staying put.

This budget deal was not negotiated by the New Paul Ryan. It was a natural step for the Old Paul Ryan to take because while it wasn’t in line with his other recent budgets, it follows his desire to shape the country’s fiscal course, which he likely considered the first casualty to the prevailing congressional stalemate. It was, however, his first such move since the 2012 presidential election. There is much consistency to Ryan’s compromise, which suggests his heart was with the gavel all along.

Ryan will have to step down as Budget Committee chairman due to term limits, but it’s assumed that he has the fast-track to replacing Ways and Means Committee Dave Camp (R-MI) who is also term limited. What’s more, if Speaker John Boehner calls it quits in the next few years, Ryan could stake a claim to that spot.

Imagine a Speaker Paul Ryan working with a President Scott Walker? I’ve joke about this on Twitter, but if that happened Wisconsin really would be saving America.

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