September 03, 2004

Hedging

Maybe I'm too cautious or too conservative (and is that bad?) but even with how well the GOP did with their convention I don't see Bush getting a big bounce. Like the conventional wisdom, I see the electorate as highly polarized with few undecided voters out there. It's anecdotal, but I'm seeing people get politically active that haven't before. Lots of people see this as a very important election.

If I'm right and Bush/Kerry remain virtually deadlocked until November then Get Out The Vote will be hugely important. The GOP is putting together their most ambitious program yet, but historically the Democrats have won the GOTV battle with help from labor unions and liberal activist groups.

"BOINNNNNG! (?)"