October 24, 2004

Bush Leads in Hawaii

In one poll, President Bush is tied with Sen. Kerry in Hawaii. Hawaii! This is not a good sign for Kerry if he's having trouble in a long-standing Democratic stronghold.

The campaigns are at a point where funds are dwindling, yet they don't want any left over. Stategists are pouring over polls electoral vote maps to best allocate cash. Gamesmanship is being played. Last week, the President gave a speech in New Jersey, a state that should be safe for Kerry. It's close there giving the President an opening to turn a blue state red. Buy even more importantly Bush's visit may have forced Kerry Edwards to spend more money than they wanted to in a "safe" state preventing that money from going to real battleground states like Ohio and Florida. Bush probably won't get either New Jersey or Hawaii, but scaring his opponent into putting resources there could be beneficial in the overall "strategery."

If Bush wants to take a longshot at winning Hawaii and can't fit the long Air Force One flight into his schedule he should send the twins. A beach party for Bush would draw attention, especially if Jenna and Barbara turned it into a bikini bash.

"Hawai'i Poll: Bush, Kerry in Dead Heat" [via PoliPundit]